Comments on: UCC Lecture: “Risk Intelligence” – How expert gamblers can teach us all to make better decisions” http://www.mulley.net/2010/02/04/ucc-lecture-%e2%80%9crisk-intelligence%e2%80%9d-%e2%80%93-how-expert-gamblers-can-teach-us-all-to-make-better-decisions%e2%80%9d/ Invisible people have invisible rights Tue, 31 Jan 2012 15:55:22 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.6 hourly 1 By: TUG http://www.mulley.net/2010/02/04/ucc-lecture-%e2%80%9crisk-intelligence%e2%80%9d-%e2%80%93-how-expert-gamblers-can-teach-us-all-to-make-better-decisions%e2%80%9d/comment-page-1/#comment-921082 TUG Fri, 05 Feb 2010 15:23:24 +0000 http://www.mulley.net/?p=7837#comment-921082 On a long enough timeline, etc. On a long enough timeline, etc.

]]> By: Kieran http://www.mulley.net/2010/02/04/ucc-lecture-%e2%80%9crisk-intelligence%e2%80%9d-%e2%80%93-how-expert-gamblers-can-teach-us-all-to-make-better-decisions%e2%80%9d/comment-page-1/#comment-921080 Kieran Fri, 05 Feb 2010 12:38:32 +0000 http://www.mulley.net/?p=7837#comment-921080 Saw the presentation at this mornings Open Coffee, very interesting indeed. The presentation was slightly more app oriented than what I assume the lecture will contain. Very interesting topic which covers, for example, the accuracy of doctors diagnosis and critically their personal confidence in the accuracy of that diagnosis which is worryingly poor. Saw the presentation at this mornings Open Coffee, very interesting indeed. The presentation was slightly more app oriented than what I assume the lecture will contain. Very interesting topic which covers, for example, the accuracy of doctors diagnosis and critically their personal confidence in the accuracy of that diagnosis which is worryingly poor.

]]> By: TUG http://www.mulley.net/2010/02/04/ucc-lecture-%e2%80%9crisk-intelligence%e2%80%9d-%e2%80%93-how-expert-gamblers-can-teach-us-all-to-make-better-decisions%e2%80%9d/comment-page-1/#comment-921077 TUG Fri, 05 Feb 2010 09:38:43 +0000 http://www.mulley.net/?p=7837#comment-921077 Oh for the love of the Gaussian Copula function! The entire financial crisis is based on gambling, it's a blow up of the dotcom way back when and then the entire inability of the financial community to interpret risk beta, in the same way any expert gambler does... Gamblers are the kings of cognitive bias... Especially anyone gambling in Ireland, ever hear of an overround? Ivan Yates has, that's why he's a fecking bookie... Oh for the love of the Gaussian Copula function! The entire financial crisis is based on gambling, it’s a blow up of the dotcom way back when and then the entire inability of the financial community to interpret risk beta, in the same way any expert gambler does…

Gamblers are the kings of cognitive bias… Especially anyone gambling in Ireland, ever hear of an overround? Ivan Yates has, that’s why he’s a fecking bookie…

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